Why The Stock Market Keeps Climbing

By Nicholas A. Flemming, CFA, CPA, M.Sc, FMA — Senior Portfolio Manager & Wealth Advisor, Flemming Private Wealth (RBC Dominion Securities). Shared with permission.

The current bull market (finance speak for a rising market) has been labeled “the most hated bull market in history” because nobody wants to believe it’s real.

Well, I’m happy to tell you that it is real, and I’d like to show you why, in a few easy-to-understand slides courtesy of Fidelity:

Stock market profits

Comment: Profitability is everything when it comes to market performance. If investors expect healthy corporate profitability, you’re probably in a good place, and if the growth rate is accelerating, you’re in an even better place. That’s where we are today.

Energy Consumption

Comment: For all the talk about the Strait of Hormuz perhaps this chart should have been talked about just a little more!

Unemployment

Comment: Any reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector, which is very positive.

Unemployment

Comment: For all the talk about AI destroying the job market we’re not seeing it yet. In fact, we just hired our fourth Associate here at Flemming Private Wealth who I’m looking forward to introducing under separate cover.

For the skeptics out there, I recognize these charts are all US based, but the US stock market is currently 54% of the world’s market cap, and whether we like it or not Canada’s performance still tends to be tightly linked to the fate of our southern neighbor. In fact, so far in 2026 Canada’s stock market is outperforming the US.

Finally, perhaps next month I’ll send four concerning charts, but it’s July and we should be thinking positive (and let’s pretend we’re not watching the Canadian Dollar.)

Until next month, Happy investing, and have a wonderful summer!

Republished with the author’s permission and credited to Nicholas A. Flemming. The views expressed are those of the author and do not represent those of Jane Moysey Real Estate. Charts courtesy of Fidelity Investments; underlying data sourced from FactSet (as of April 29, 2026), Haver Analytics (as of March 2, 2026), the ISM® Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index® (as of April 2026), and the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (as of April 2026). Provided for general information only and not intended as investment advice.